Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.239675 3.435933 3.645092 3.885852 4.156956 4.454743 4.809316
2025-02-16 2.843094 3.100947 3.390584 3.744302 4.170798 4.677032 5.337322
2025-02-23 2.575393 2.867721 3.209390 3.646635 4.204749 4.914250 5.923707
2025-03-02 2.355226 2.662333 3.031973 3.522260 4.177189 5.059178 6.416118
2025-03-09 2.214259 2.536563 2.934856 3.480915 4.242804 5.329923 7.148623
2025-03-16 2.073620 2.398120 2.806816 3.380989 4.209092 5.446165 7.667412
2025-03-23 1.997923 2.335059 2.768807 3.395458 4.335251 5.820505 8.746284
2025-03-30 1.920886 2.263985 2.713043 3.376916 4.406008 6.115287 9.791591
2025-04-06 1.840895 2.183600 2.638067 3.322069 4.410650 6.294427 10.671960
2025-04-13 1.755737 2.091585 2.540942 3.225624 4.335545 6.313737 11.188624
2025-04-20 1.725395 2.071606 2.542439 3.276410 4.508495 6.835112 13.323106
2025-04-27 1.679685 2.027951 2.507121 3.266558 4.574869 7.158328 15.156553
2025-05-04 1.637873 1.991721 2.486002 3.286736 4.715496 7.720602 18.683966
2025-05-11 1.597016 1.955388 2.463334 3.304029 4.858015 8.352103 23.930624
2025-05-18 1.551103 1.909777 2.424247 3.291047 4.942282 8.883752 30.602995
2025-05-25 1.494528 1.846373 2.354745 3.220778 4.902229 9.076387 36.112453
2025-06-01 1.454864 1.805664 2.317597 3.203057 4.968689 9.609338 49.421459
2025-06-08 1.404259 1.746940 2.249570 3.125772 4.897489 9.700291 59.235452
2025-06-15 1.378610 1.723710 2.235484 3.143042 5.036060 10.548538 111.958641
2025-06-22 1.347963 1.691756 2.205819 3.129381 5.102790 11.195318 270.617469
2025-06-29 1.312314 1.651025 2.160206 3.082808 5.085953 11.524647 1134.575389
2025-07-06 1.270939 1.600444 2.096790 2.999053 4.970115 11.406767 11455.939463
2025-07-13 1.258205 1.592440 2.101569 3.043887 5.175164 12.815519 NaN